He hasn’t won any delegates and probably won’t win many before Super Tuesday on March 3. But the Michael Bloomberg campaign is telling other Democratic candidates to drop out so that he can go one-on-one with Bernie Sanders — and save the Democratic Party from itself.
“The fact is if the state of this race remains status quo — with Biden, Pete and Amy in the race on Super Tuesday — Bernie is likely to open up a delegate lead that seems nearly impossible to overcome,” Kevin Sheekey, Bloomberg’s top strategist, told Axios. “I don’t think many people understand the dire circumstances here.”
Obama’s 2008 campaign manager David Plouffe agrees:
If this happens, Sanders would have a pledged delegate lead he’ll never relinquish. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1229916120469118978 …Nate Silver✔@NateSilver538Average projected delegates through Super Tuesday:
Sanders 608 (41% of delegates thru March 3)
Bloomberg 273 (18%)
Biden 270 (18%)
Buttigieg 157 (10%)
Warren 127 (8%)
Klobuchar 55 (4%)https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/ …8067:02 PM – Feb 18, 2020
The Washington Post calls Sanders “uncatchable,” but is he a sure thing to win the nomination? The math says he can’t lock up the nomination before the convention.
And the reasons are varied, but you can start with the Democratic Party itself, which appears to have a talent for trivializing the momentous and complicating the obvious. read more