Government report reveals CBO was scandalously off in Obamacare estimates

WaEx: A new report from government actuaries has revealed that the Congressional Budget Office was scandalously off in its estimates of the impact of Obamacare’s individual mandate, a miscalculation that has had significant ramifications for healthcare and tax policy over the past decade.

CBO estimates about the importance of an individual mandate to a national healthcare scheme prodded President Barack Obama into including the unpopular provision into the law in the first place. The mandate projections also played a key role in President Trump’s two major legislative initiatives. The fact that the CBO assumed 14 million could lose coverage mainly due to the elimination of mandate penalties helped kill the effort to repeal and replace Obamacare, while its later assumption that 13 million fewer insured individuals would mean less spending on subsidies from the federal government helped get the 2017 Republican tax cut across the finish line by improving the budgetary math. Yet those incredibly influential estimates now appear to have been wildly off.

In what was literally a footnote in its annual report on national health spending projections, actuaries for the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services on Wednesday estimated that the elimination of the individual mandate would have a significantly smaller impact than the CBO has long estimated. Specifically, the CMS report revealed that 2.5 million more people would go without insurance in 2019 due to the repeal of the individual mandate’s penalties, and the impact would be “smaller” thereafter.  read more

9 Comments on Government report reveals CBO was scandalously off in Obamacare estimates

  1. I have a problem with this article. The mandate was crony dealmaking lobbied for by insurance companies, such as AARP.

    I also don’t care for the unnecessary (and false) commentary that Obama was “against” a mandate when he campaigned in 2008, at a time when it was not actually a proposal on anyone’s table (he was against single payer.)

  2. I think those clowns just pull the numbers out of their ass anyway.
    When have they ever been close to the mark?

  3. A federal government agency made a “mistake” about the impact of a law that would help Obama increase the size and scope of the federal government?

    Well, su-u-ure it did. Just a ludicrously incorrect yet “honest” mistake

  4. no surprise
    who believes the liars in Washington any way
    if you trust them you are not paying attention
    when was the last time they told the truth?

  5. My understanding is that the CBO works with of the numbers Congress gives them to work with.

    The numbers are basically imaginary projections to begin with, so give them the right set of numbers to get the result you want to hear,

    Garbage in, garbage out.

  6. They were supposed to be ‘waaaay off’ where do you think they found that $2500.00 per year everyone living on the planet was promised!


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