If COVID-19 Models Are Unreliable, What Does This Mean For Climate Models?

I&I:

It wasn’t long ago, just in recent days, in fact, that we were being told the coronavirus was going to kill more than 2 million Americans. But some researchers are indicating the forecasts of doom were driven by faulty models.

What then, are we supposed to make of the models that have been fueling the global warming hysteria?

The forecast used to predict 2.2 million U.S. deaths and 510,00 deaths in Great Britain was produced by Imperial College in London. It is “the epidemiological modeling which has informed policymaking in the United Kingdom and other countries in recent weeks.”

OK, but is the information reliable? Epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta is doubtful.

“I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” he said in the Financial Times.

Gupta’s team of researchers at Oxford believe both the hospitalization and mortality rates are much lower than the worst estimates, and immunity is more widespread than previously thought.

The Wall Street Journal has published an op-ed from professors of medicine at Stanford who said “projections of the death toll” reaching 2 million to 4 millon “could plausibly be orders of magnitude too high.” They believe “epidemiological modelers haven’t adequately adapted their estimates to account for” a number of important factors.

We can’t say for sure which model has it right. Will deaths be in the millions? Or will coronavirus be less lethal than the seasonal flu?

But we can say that at least one of the models is wrong.

So what does this tell us about the climate models that officials keep telling us are evidence that man is overheating his only planet? more

15 Comments on If COVID-19 Models Are Unreliable, What Does This Mean For Climate Models?

  1. About 50 years ago I learned an expression that is fit for these models, “Garbage in, Garbage out”. GIGO for short. Every “model” is built to the makers expectations, they get the results they want.

    13
  2. hell, they still can’t even get the daily f***ing weather right

    lower your expectations, we’re talking about the gov’t

    9
  3. MJA IS A WITCH!!!! HOW DARE SHE QUESTION THE MIGHTY OZ!!!!!

    The liberals house of cards is collapsing upon them and THE SCIENCE WHICH MAY NOT BE CHALLENGED has left them dead in a ditch.

    We told ‘em years ago. Bald tires and bad shocks on a perilous mountain road in inclement weather is not good.

    But that’s the road they’ve chosen.

    Bad luck to them.

    12
  4. These highly speculative models create all kinds of problems and suffering among the people.

    Yet no one is ever held accountable for them.

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  5. I, for one, believe the Govt has our best interests at heart and the Media would never lie to us.

    4
  6. Perhaps someone “massaged the data”!
    By any chance is Michael Mann now an Epidemiologist, or otherwise employed at the WHO or CDC?

    5
  7. But, but, but the AlGorithims used in the global warming computer models prove beyond a shadow of a doubt that @Charlie was correct – GIGO.

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  8. It’s like the people who write software for autonomous driving in electric cars. We don’t have a clue who their are and their reliability sucks

    7
  9. The people who made these models and use them have known they were wrong for years. They just ramp up the paranoia & propaganda. That’s why Greta happened

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  10. The people who wrote these models were the same ones who coded the Obamacare webstie.

    Don’t let them get anywhere near another computer!

    8
  11. We know it’s all bullshit, don’t’ we.

    These criminals have been ROBBING our country blind for decades now.

    It’s great that mccain is dead, and it’s great that Donald Trump is president.

    It’ll be greater when pelosi, obama, clinton, kerry and the rest of the gang join mccain. But it’d be best if they died in prison.

    7
  12. Same group.
    Hysteria merchants.
    Sow discord; reap power – divide and conquer.

    The similarities should be obvious even to the dullest among us.

    izlamo delenda est …

    3
  13. “So what does this tell us about the climate models that officials keep telling us are evidence that man is overheating his only planet?”

    The same thing it’s always told us. Computer Climate Models are the 21st Century version of Tea Leaves and Chicken guts.

    1

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