Nate Silver has a good article about the war between the remaining potential nominees in the Republican primary.
He goes through the various permutations, how strong Cruz states are proportional rather than winner take all, how Rubio would likely take more Cruz voters if he were to drop out and how Trump may have a ceiling.
Something in the article is lacking, however.
What if the eventual nominee goes on to lose the general election, will the supporters of the other 2 candidates claim it’s because their guy wasn’t in it?
I’m thinking mostly of Cruz or Rubio versus Trump here, not Cruz versus Rubio.
If Trump wins the primary and loses the general, will Cruz/Rubio supporters go ballistic and claim they could have won the presidency?
I’m pretty sure they will, and it’s because Trump has already been branded the non-conservative, and he will be seen as the impediment to the conservative purist revolution.
This would be the war to end all wars, and it will never be forgotten because of how far left the left has become. The stakes are so, so high in this election, and we are all so, so nervous that we get this right. A misstep and we are further left than at any point in out nation’s history.
The problem though, is that there is no credible evidence on head to head match-ups until it is too late.
Anyone that claims that they can predict a Trump versus Hillary match-up right now, with Sanders, Cruz and Rubio still in the race, is a fullofsh!tnik.
We have people on this site that are saying they will never vote for Trump (which would factor into the polls I’ve been reading), and I know there is a better than 75% chance that they will end up voting for Trump when staring down the barrel of a Hillary presidency.
The “I will never vote for Trump gang” will buckle when they are confronted with the reality of a “Hail To the Thief” Bernie Sanders presidency.
But, of course, if Trump does win the primary, and Trump doesn’t win the general, whose fault will that be, Trump supporters or Trump detractors.
I won’t take seriously the bitching and whining of a Trump loss when all I’m hearing are people on the right saying they will vote for Hillary if Trump is the nominee.
I’m not hearing much “I will vote for Hillary if Cruz is the nominee” chatter.
If Cruz is the nominee and loses the general…