The GOP South Carolina Primary and Dem Nevada Caucus Liveblog – IOTW Report

The GOP South Carolina Primary and Dem Nevada Caucus Liveblog

Saturday, 20 February 2016, 19:49 Aurelius Uncategorized 49

10:00: Trump has won, and it looks like Rubio will take second, with Cruz coming just behind him. Bush has dropped out, Carson said he won’t (though he should), and Kasich hasn’t said anything about staying in (but, obviously, he should drop out as well).

9:49: Cruz: We can defeat Donald Trump.

9:45: With 97% in, Rubio up 22.4 to 22.3.

9:41: Cruz takes the stage. Praises Bush, takes swipe at Trump.

9:32: With 93% in, Rubio at 24.4 and Cruz at 24.1.

9:26: Rubio now at 22.2 and Cruz at 21.8.

9:20: Rubio: “We are a nation and a people that celebrate success… We fight for those still trying to make it.”

9:16: Rubio takes the stage. Congratulates Donald Trump.

9:13: With 82% in, Rubio at 22.3 and Cruz at 21.7%. Trump remains comfortably at 33%.

9:06: Trump: Our theme, “Make America Great Again,” is the best ever.

9:01: Trump: I’m going to repeal ObamaCare, replace it with a plan that is “so much better.”

8:58: Rubio up in a solid second with 22.3 to Cruz’s 21.6. More importantly, Rubio-heavy counties are under-reporting.

8:58: Trump rally boos Cruz and Rubio; Trump tells them to be nice “for one minute.”

8:56: Melania Trump and Ivanka Trump make quick speeches at Trump rally.

8:55: Trump: I’ll take the Lt. Governor over Governor Haley any day.

8:52: Trump takes the stage.

8:50: Cruz up 21.9 to Rubio’s 21.4 with 58% in.

8:48: Bush: If conservative Republicans win the White House, we will remain the greatest nation ever.

8:43: Cruz and Rubio tied at 21.6% each.

8:40: JEB BUSH TO SUSPEND CAMPAIGN!!!!!!

8:34: Good for Rubio: Richland county is under-reporting and he’s winning big there. Good news for Cruz: the most populous county, Greenville, has reported less than 1% of their vote and he’ll probably beat Rubio there.

8:31: Cruz staying in second, with 21.5 against Rubio’s 21.3.

8:28: Cruz at 21.7 and Rubio at 21.5.

8:25: Carson says he won’t drop out. I’d say I couldn’t believe it, but then again, Carson’s somehow managed to sleep through the last 5 debates.

8:23: Cruz now at 22.1 and Rubio is at 21.7. An amazingly tight race for second place. Also, Jeb Bush needs to drop out.

8:19: Cruz up with 22.2 to Rubio’s 21.3.

8:16: Cruz now up against Rubio, 21.7 to 21.5.

8:12: Rubio and Cruz separated by only 8 votes. 22% in.

8:09: Rubio switches place with Cruz, then they go back again. Rubio at 21.7 and Cruz at 21.3. 22% in.

8:07: With 21% in, Rubio at 21.5 and Cruz at 21.4. Trump continues to dominate at 34.2%.

8:04: Very close battle continues for 2nd place, with Rubio at 21.6 and 21.1 for Cruz. 19% in.

8:01: Rubio jumps to second with 22.2% with Cruz now in third at 20.6%.

7:59: As for the also-rans, Bush stands at 9.6, Kasich at 7.2, and Carson at 6.2.

7:56: With 10% in, Trump is at 33.9, Cruz at 22.1, and Rubio at 20.9.

7:54: Trump and Clinton declared winners in their respective states.

Apparently, polls in South Carolina closed at seven o’clock. Not good for me, since I thought they were closing later!

So, at 7:50, Clinton has 52.5% against 47.4% with 84% in. With 7% in for the GOP, Trump is at 34.6, Cruz is at 21.4 and Rubio is at 21%.

I would also like to take a moment and say how much I hate CNN, as they reported yesterday that SC polls would start to close at 9pm.

49 Comments on The GOP South Carolina Primary and Dem Nevada Caucus Liveblog

  6. The reality of a Trump nomination is way too strange for many.
    I must admit, it’s a bit exhilarating, and not necessarily in a good way.
    We wanted, for a long, long time, not to have the same old cookie cutter politician mill spit one out at us. (Not saying Cruz is one of those, but he’s running in a year where people have a need to burn the apparatus down. It’s just unfortunate timing for Cruz.)

    If Trump wins , and he’s a disaster, we’ll be going back to the cookie cutter system where the GOP tells us we can pick any candidate from the pool they have hand selected for us.

    But maybe we’re going to be great again.
    We don’t know.
    And that’s the point.

    This is the year conservatives get adventurous instead of being force fed a pile of shit.
    We can go off road and find our own pile of shit, thank you.

  7. Can’t believe all the idiots out there who like Rubio. Guy is a total freaking sellout. Foxnews keeps showing the Rubio HQ in SC and I just want to ask these rubes: are you in favor of amnesty??

  8. memo to the Confederate States, the Spanish Empire, Germany in WWI & WWII, the Japanese in WWII, the Aztecs, the Germanics, the Myans, the Zulus, etc, etc ….. second place sucks

  9. Carson is elucidating the argument I’m making, more eloquently than I did, right now.
    Of course, he’s talking about himself, not Trump, when he says he represents the idea that the people are in control and can put together a coalition that proves that they are in control of their destiny.

  10. if…if ….. if
    “We can go off road and find our own pile of shit, thank you.”

    or….we can go on doing the same old shit we’ve been doing an end up in an even bigger pile of shit we find ourselves in today

    …new shit, different day……your choice

  11. If Trump can’t keep Rubio in the race he is toast.
    Many are behind him because he is the ‘strong horse’. If the balance shifts many are going to start looking at Trump with a more critical eye.
    Rubio’s voters have two choices, Cruz or stay home. There are also another group large enough to swing it, but they show no sign of going with Trump.
    The truth is, I think there is a distinct possibility that Rubio would be a better president than Trump. I also believe that if Trump supporters started whacking him in the head over the liberal crap that he would improve both as a person and a politician, and stand a better chance of being a good president.
    The likelihood of the star struck doing that is around below zero though.

  14. Aurelius, learn from your unfortunate CNN experience: always confirm with a second source.

    CNN is evil.. I bet there were people in S.C. who didn’t get to vote because of this mistake.

    On a similar topic, Nevada caucuses were also supposed to end at 7:00 p.m. their time. The state is split between Mountain and Pacific time, which means it’s only 5:30 or 6:30 p.m. out there. But we have a winner?

  16. ΜΟΛΩΝ ΛΑΒΕ, Exactly, you can’t find new fresh shit, doing the same old shitty shit over and over again. I’ll take one of the Worlds greatest business man thank you. I’m tired of being shit on with old shit. I want some fresh shit. LOL. FUR, calm down

    PS, Jebs fucking out. About time.

  20. Mr. Labe.
    My analysis left Cruz out precisely to clarify why Trump and his apparati have been propping Rubio up.
    My point is that Trump is playing with fire. He probably believes a lot of Cruz supporters will sit out rather than hold their noses and vote for him or Rubio. However, if that is the case, Trump becomes the spoiler and the Democrats win.
    Trump and his followers have made the entire campaign about ensuring that people supporting other candidates refuse to vote for Trump.
    Name one Republican with the kind of negatives Trump has in the Republican party ever winning the presidency.

  26. @JohnS ~ as I posted above…I believe most (not all) of Bush’s votes go to Robio…not the Cruzer …. it’s not a zero sum game
    my true belief is that the RNC is trying, DESPERATELY, to have a brokered convention, so that the establishment will decide the race
    …just like the democRATs are doing….
    you enjoy status quo? ….. I don’t

  29. @JohnS
    “Name one Republican with the kind of negatives Trump has in the Republican party ever winning the presidency.”

    Ronald Reagan in 1980. The “amiable dunce”:
    As Peter Schweizer, author of “Reagan’s War,” the book on which “In the Face of Evil” is based, recalls:
    Historian Edmund Morris, in his 874-page authorized biography, concludes that Reagan is simply incomprehensible, an airhead who has lived a charmed life. Diplomat Clark Clifford has called him an “amiable dunce,” and Nicholas von Hoffman said it was “humiliating to think of this unlettered, self-assured bumpkin being our president.” Tip O’Neill flat out said in public, “He knows less than any president I’ve every known.” Anthony Lewis of the New York Times claimed he had only a “seven-minute attention span.” Author Gail Sheehy declared he was “half asleep” while he was president.

    That’s how the “beautiful people” of Washington regarded, and still regard, this story’s protagonist, Ronald Reagan.
    http://www.wnd.com/2005/02/28828/
    .

  33. Mr. Labe,
    Yes the Jeb! votes will go to Rubio.
    However, they amount to near nothing.
    The Cruz meeting in the closet ensured that Carson won’t bail, at least in the near term. If Cruz snags the Carson voters and a fair piece of the 20+% that aren’t hanging on any of the frontrunners he still overtakes Rubio.
    I have been on the fence until recently RE Trump or Cruz.
    Until recent events, I had no real issues with Trump.
    However, now he is becoming the spoiler that could very well give us another Democrat.

  35. Cruz’s so-called ‘evangelical’ support did not materialize
    face reality … it’s either Trump (the ‘Fuck U’ vote) or the establishment candidate, Robio (the status quo vote)

  41. OK Labe.
    With about 25% of the voters still ‘in play’ and not connected to the top 3 what Cruz is doing I a plausible strategy.
    However, if it works and the Trump supporters keep booing, it will be Hilldog or Bern in hell.

  43. @JohnS ~ what about the ‘25% …still in play’? … its not monolithic …my guess …15% Rubio, 12% Cruz, 8% Trump
    Trump also picks up at least 65f% of Carson’s people
    Kasich supporters…..who know where the hell their heads are at?

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