Making climate data look scary – IOTW Report

Making climate data look scary

Bad Cattitude-

The key to engendering a sense of crisis is to remove any sense of perspective. it’s a classic of the genre. “risk is up 50%!” is this a big deal? without a baseline risk figure, you really cannot say. a 50% rise in your risk of getting cancer would probably lead you to reconsider behavior. a 50% rise in risk of being hit my a meteorite? probably not.

this was used to great effect by the covid crowd with claims like “50% reduction in deaths” from vaccines or from other drugs. leaving aside the frequent inaccuracy, rigging, and even falsification of such data: it’s still incredibly misleading. a 50% drop from what? if your prior death risk was 1 in 10,000, halving it is pretty immaterial and even tiny adverse events rates would swamp benefit and lead to negative expected value. but it was presented in a manner that made this hard to see. and let me tell you, if you think the drug cos and health agencies are good at misrepresentation, well buckle up, because they are absolute pikers compared to the climate crowd…

15 Comments on Making climate data look scary

  1. this is what kind of stuff that resluts when the snake oil guys team up with madison avenue. sales props. slight of hand using charts and graphs. they want everyone to buy into it, and they want it to be mandatory.

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  2. Fun and games with statistics. They do the same thing with graphs – limit the ranges of the x and y axis and expand the scale to give them an exaggerated curve that looks ‘ominous’.

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  3. ANY time “science” is discussed by politicians – IT’S BULLSHIT!

    You NEVER see Adam Schitt pontificate about Quantum Chromodynamics, for instance.
    Al Gore would never offer to explain Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle.
    These idiots couldn’t even tell you who Torricelli was.
    Some enterprising “journalist” should ask some of these maggots about about the thermodynamic properties of the various gasses of which the atmosphere is composed.
    Congress doesn’t debate wave over particle theory, does it?
    Congress doesn’t debate the existence of gravity waves, does it?

    ALL BULLSHIT – ALL THE TIME. If it comes from a politician – IT’S BULLSHIT!

    Politicians are actors. Vain, corrupt, preening, posturing, narcissistic clowns who seek to enrich themselves without making the effort of invention, innovation, or genius.

    mortem tyrannis
    izlamo delenda est …

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  4. Ahhh, same old bullshit, different day.
    I recall back in the 70’s , Global Cooling, Acid Rain, the Ozone hole , it just never stops. Now.., it’s eat your damn bugs and give us your gas stove. Eff em

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  5. If you’re driving up hill, you can take the average slope for some given distance and precisely calculate the moment you will reach outer space. The math would be correct. Same for temperature data manipulation.

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  6. I’m pretty dumb about statistics, but I did read a fine book about how they get manipulated. I still have it and it is waiting for me to give it a second reading.

    Standard Deviations – Flawed Assumptions, Tortured Data, and Other Ways to Lie with Statistics. Author Gary Smith. Published 2014.

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  7. @ Tim – FJB

    Nice rant but it goes far beyond politicians Just tonight I was watching a program about the sixth mass extinction. You know, the one we’re in the middle of right now. A “scientist” from Stanford was saying we will reach a critical point in 5 to 7 years unless we make a serious effort beginning right now. He didn’t actually spell out what these serious efforts were but did mention it was going to require the cooperation of every country in the world. I’m sure everyone here remembers the last time that happened. No, you don’t remember? Well, I guess we’re fucked!

    I didn’t watch the whole show, just flipped to it when there was a commercial on the channel I was watching. Two major observations were: 1) any scientist working on a government grant could more aptly be labeled parasite, 2) all the dire consequences they were predicting were good examples of what’s been happening on this planet for the last 4 billion years.

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  8. mod,
    I am somewhat aware of that.
    If you see a “scientist” on the TV it is an actor, unless it’s being interviewed on its narrow area of expertise (like a ballistics expert or an ME taking a honest look at Epstein’s murdered carcass). Those “scientists” you see regularly, such as Bill Nye and Kneel Yo’Greasy Tyrone, are barkers for the nihilistic totalitarians who pay their salaries – they’ve abandoned real science to be high-priced stooges – and will tell any lie, any exaggeration, and anything to add confusion to support their scripts.

    But it’s the politicians who have the power to push the nefarious agendas of nihilistic totalitarianism – not the sock-puppet stooges in Academia and the Media.

    Your observations seem correct.

    mortem tyrannis
    izlamo delenda est …

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