The Democratic Momentum Mirage – IOTW Report

The Democratic Momentum Mirage

American Spectator:
To gauge the trepidation with which the Democrats view the midterms, consider their reaction to last week’s special elections in New York’s 19th and 23rd congressional districts. They eked out a two-point win in the former and lost the latter. Yet, the Democrats and their friends in the Fourth Estate hailed the NY-19 victory as a portent of doom for the GOP in November. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi declared, “Republicans should be very, very, very scared this morning about their prospects.”

The lady doth protest too much, to quote the Swan of Avon. Pelosi knows she’s about to lose the speaker’s gavel. The weak Democratic showing in New York is typical of their record in special House elections held since 2020. They failed to flip a single GOP seat while enduring a historic defeat in Texas’s 34th District. So, is NY-19 a bellwether? Nope. We heard the same tale after a Pennsylvania Democrat won a special election in 2010. This was touted as proof that no GOP wave would materialize in that year’s midterms. Politico’s piece was especially smug:

All the evidence pointing to monster Republican House gains this fall—the Scott Brown upset win in Massachusetts, the scary polling numbers in once-safely Democratic districts, the ever-rising number of Democratic seats thought to be in jeopardy—was contradicted Tuesday … In the only House race that really mattered to both parties—the special election to replace the late Democratic Rep. John Murtha in Pennsylvania’s 12th District—Republicans failed spectacularly.

When Election Day arrived, however, the Democratic House majority was swamped by a 63-seat Republican tsunami. The GOP also picked up six seats in the Senate. This year, the Republicans don’t need a wave to win a majority in either house of Congress. All they require is a five-seat gain in the House of Representatives and a one-seat gain in the Senate. Moreover, despite countless claims to the contrary by the Democrats and corporate media, the actual impact of the Supreme Court’s Dobbs ruling on Republican momentum has been exaggerated. more

9 Comments on The Democratic Momentum Mirage

  1. Funny how Democrats think everyone will follow their proclamations for fear of not getting along , and won’t vote for Republicans.

    Problem is, people who use reason and free thought don’t give a flying fuck what others think. A free man doesn’t surround himself with others’ opinions.

    It’s not going to go well for them.

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  2. “All they require is a five-seat gain in the House of Representatives and a one-seat gain in the Senate.”

    Wrong. As long as assholes like McConnell, Graham, Romney, Murkowski, etc., remain, you need an excess of R senators to counter whatever monkey wrenches they might throw into the gears. A simple majority that includes them is no safety guarantee.

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  3. “Republicans should be very, very, very scared this morning about their prospects.”
    -Some Drunken Old Tyrant

    She’s right, tho.

    NO election reform has happened, or can.

    NO one will investigate election fraud.

    They don’t even care if its blatant any more.

    So after the next steal, Republicans should indeed be very, very, very scared about their prospects.

    Which will be about the same as the Jewish people in 1939 Germany, but with no England or United States.

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  4. There are 30 states using our old buddy Dominion. GA added 100s of new drop boxes. IL, already corrupt to the bone, has instituted “mobile” voting booths. They’ve alerted their mules to use burner phones.

    They stole the PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION with no repercussions, these midterms will be a walk in the park.

    I’m reading how the 2020 PA election was stolen in a book called The Parallel Election. The corruption is so systemic, you wouldn’t believe it. And it’s not just the dems, both parties work together to get officials elected that will play ball. Up and down the ticket, city council, dog catchers, judges, regulators, DAs & prosecutors…you name it, if you’re gonna go along with divining up the pie, you’re in.

    If that means massive(Trump was up 700,000 votes in PA when the count stopped on election night) election fraud, than so be it.

    There are simply not enough MTGs to right this ship with voting. Every effort will be met by a William Barr, who called the proof The Parallel Election is laying out, bullshit, if it’s a Republican administration or a Merrick Garland/Eric Holder for the dems.

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