For the Poll Obsessed Left- The Blue Wave is Waving Goodbye – IOTW Report

For the Poll Obsessed Left- The Blue Wave is Waving Goodbye

AXIOS-

Three recent polls — conducted by CNN/SSRSQuinnipiac University and Fox News —have shown Democrats losing their double-digit edge in generic congressional polling over the GOP. In two of the polls, Democrats experienced a double-digit drop in their lead from earlier polling.

Why it matters: There has been a lot of buzz about a blue wave that allows Democrats to retake the House in 2018, but these polls should give the left some pause. That’s because Democrats will need to over-perform against a generic ballot to score big gains in the House since — as Nate Cohn at the NYT notes in a worthy read — gerrymandered congressional districts give the GOP a clear electoral edge heading into the fall.

Show less

By the numbers:

CNN/SSRS:

Quinnipiac University:

  • March 21: Democrats +6 — 49% to 43% for both the House and Senate.
  • December 5, 2017Democrats +14 — 50% to 36% for the House and 51% to 37% for the Senate.

Fox News:

13 Comments on For the Poll Obsessed Left- The Blue Wave is Waving Goodbye

  1. so the gop keeps the house? big whoop.

    one year in.
    swamp still not drained.
    wall still not built.
    gop owns it all. we get nothing. crickets.

    same old cuck-boomer democracy bullshit. we’ll just vote our way out!
    just like with reagan.
    just like with bush.

    tired of whinning, yet? booya!

    6
  2. Brad – you have to remember that the polls almost always over sample democrats by 8 to 10 points and sometimes even more. That’s one reason all the polls showed Trump losing by 5 points or more when he was really up by 5 or so (discounting the raw vote totals in CA and NY).

    If the republicans are only 5 points down in the polls at this stage, it likely reflects that in reality, they are ahead by a couple of points or at least “even” within the margin of error. I think that’s what’s got the dem’s knickers in a twist – they know that they cheat on the polls to keep up the morale of the base (and to make it look closer than it is so they can hide their vote fraud better at election time).

    15

Comments are closed.