A new election model from Moody Analytics shows that if the economy remains healthy, Donald Trump will win the 2020 election easily.
The Moody model has been backtested to 1980 and was right each time — except for 2016 when it predicted a narrow Hillary Clinton win (who didn’t?).
The model shows the uphill climb Democrats have regardless of what current polls are saying about the race.
President Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to re-election next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race.
Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count.
Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure, and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low. Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term.
While the economy has shown some troubling signs in the last few months, there is no downturn imminent. No wonder Democrats are hoping for a recession; impeachment isn’t working for them and an economic fall is the only thing they can hope for. read more