Moody Election Model Has Some Very Bad News for 2020 Democrats


A new election model from Moody Analytics shows that if the economy remains healthy, Donald Trump will win the 2020 election easily.

The Moody model has been backtested to 1980 and was right each time — except for 2016 when it predicted a narrow Hillary Clinton win (who didn’t?).

The model shows the uphill climb Democrats have regardless of what current polls are saying about the race.


President  Donald Trump looks likely to cruise to re-election next year under three different economic models Moody’s Analytics employed to gauge the 2020 race.

Barring anything unusual happening, the president’s Electoral College victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over Democrat Hillary Clinton, which came by a 304-227 count.

Moody’s based its projections on how consumers feel about their own financial situation, the gains the stock market has achieved during Trump’s tenure, and the prospects for unemployment, which has fallen to a 50-year low. Should those variables hold up, the president looks set to get another four-year term.

While the economy has shown some troubling signs in the last few months, there is no downturn imminent. No wonder Democrats are hoping for a recession; impeachment isn’t working for them and an economic fall is the only thing they can hope for. read more

10 Comments on Moody Election Model Has Some Very Bad News for 2020 Democrats

  1. The greatest comeuppance for all of this anti-Trump insanity will be his landslide reelection in about 13 months. Can you imagine the TDS levels that night? It’s gonna be bloody.

    Can’t wait.

  2. Way too many things that might change to be making any predictions today.

    I doubt conditions a year from now are going to be the same as those today.

  3. Great.

    Don’t get cocky.

    They’ve had YEARS to gerrymander, import hordes of illegals, get with their tech sector apostles about rigging electronic votes and prepare truckloads of paper ones, as well as corrupt state voting boards so they can bribe or blackmail them as needed to “certify” votes where 274% of a district votes for “Michelle” Obama, among other things, all the while arranging for blockades of Trump ward polling places and deciding how they’re going to “misplace” the military vote THIS time.

    …also, they’ll be spinning up false flags EVERYWHERE, everything from fake hate attacks to trying to destroy our economy, just to try to discredit the President or get him to knee-jerk something like gun control to wedge away votes from him.

    What they WON’T do is go gently into that good night.

    …and, even the Trump campaign allows for the possibility that there’s enough illegals and Califonia invaders to flip Texas now.

    The Devil won’t go out without a fight.

    ….be prepared to GIVE him one, is all I’m saying…

  4. From the linked article: “But recent history would suggest a majority of voters have stopped believing the press — devastating for democracy but good for Trump”

    Sorry Rick Moron, it not the fact that voters have stopped believing the press that is devastating for democracy, it the fact that the media constantly lies and tries to gaslight the voters that is devastating for democracy. Thank God for the internet!

    They need to rename the Pulitzer Prize. It should now be called the Goebbels/Duranty Prize for excellence in evil, Marxist, Anti-American propaganda, since that’s what it really is. They also need to rename the Nobel Peace Prize to the Nobel Evil Communist of the Year Prize.

  5. @pbunyan October 18, 2019 at 8:07 am

    > They need to rename the Pulitzer Prize.

    Has the prize changed?
    Or has your perception of the prize changed?
    Maybe it just is what it was.

  6. SNS is right. I believe massive voter fraud will be a major issue if something is not being done NOW to prevent it. The left have had decades to perfect their plans. They are mostly known to us, but I don’t see any progress to stop it.

    As a result of this, I can’t get too excited by all the glee we are expressing. I want to be excited and sure of victory, but I just don’t trust that the left will fail in their voter fraud plans.

    All I can do is pray that God will allow for a fair election. And hope.

  7. It would help if all the “POTUS” wannabe’s weren’t singing the same deranged song, guys.
    Why don’t the Dems just go ahead and come out with a “More taxes, more Socialism” campaign slogan?
    At least it would be honest.

  8. I’m with SNS. The only thing that I would add, is that I am anticipating another deadly school shooting within a few weeks prior to the election.
    The battle is REAL! Keep praying.


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