American Thinker: According to a top polling forecaster Larry Sabato, House Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes is no longer in a “safe” seat for re-election. He might just lose his seat to a Democrat named Andrew Janz.
According to The Hill:
Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics moved Nunes’s seat to “likely Republican” as his Democratic challenger, Fresno County Deputy District Attorney Andrew Janz, continues to have fundraising success.
Nunes, a staunch defender of President Trump, is still considered a favorite in the race, but the Crystal Ball notes that he will likely face a stronger challenge than expected[.]
Now, anything could happen, I suppose, but Sabato was wrong* in forecasting Donald Trump’s victory. With the press drumbeat about the supposed “great blue wave” next November out there, and the press touting Sabato, I am suspicious that this might just be psychological warfare to boost Nunes’s opponent.
Start with Andrew Janz, who, far from being a Bernie Sanders-style firebrand standing in stark contrast to the conservative standard of Nunes, is actually a mealy-mouthed milquetoast.
The press sees strength in his candidacy, based on the fact that he has raised a lot of money. Yeah, sure.
Let’s start with the money. According to OpenSecrets, Janz has raised $1 million from contributors – impressive, yes. Nunes, however, has raised $2.5 million. Advantage: Nunes. And it’s a big one. more here
mealy-mouthed milquetoast.
I’m going to have to write that down somewhere.
Larry Sabato has to prove that his polling is valid. Seems to me he’s one of those trying to influence, not report.
Ahh, yes…the old “running up the score ploy” All these fresh plums ripe for Dems to pick…
“The maneuvering speaks to the unexpected tension facing Mrs. Clinton as she hurtles toward what aides increasingly believe will be a decisive victory — a pleasant problem, for certain, but one that has nonetheless scrambled the campaign’s strategy weeks before Election Day: Should Mrs. Clinton maximize her own margin, aiming to flip as many red states as possible to run up an electoral landslide, or prioritize the party’s congressional fortunes, redirecting funds and energy down the ballot?”–NYT, October 16, 2016
I remember the moment when “Hillary will run up the score” became “Hillary still has a small path to victory”. But you go with what you know, Sabato. We’ll see who runs up the score.
I’m so done with the polling. Because of the polls last time around I voted and went home and went to bed figuring it was my last night Clinton free for the next 8 years.
Luckily someone texted me to turn the news in time to drink some liberal tears but I missed the slow motion dawning of all the libtards that is was game over.
There are some out there, and I am one, who when seeing negative polls for my candidate only makes me more determined to go vote for him or her.
Sorry Larry, but it don’t always work.
When Fems start talking about all the “safe” GOP seats that are suddenly up for grabs, Larry, doesn’t it make the needle on your Bullshit Detector quiver just a little bit? Maybe you don’t even have it plugged in.
“The maneuvering speaks to the unexpected tension facing Mrs. Clinton as she hurtles toward what aides increasingly believe will be a decisive victory — a pleasant problem, for certain, but one that has nonetheless scrambled the campaign’s strategy weeks before Election Day: Should Mrs. Clinton maximize her own margin, aiming to flip as many red states as possible to run up an electoral landslide, or prioritize the party’s congressional fortunes, redirecting funds and energy down the ballot?”–NYT, 10/16/16
I remember when “Hillary will run up the score” became “Hillary still has a narrow path to victory”. But you go with what you know, Larry.
“The maneuvering speaks to the unexpected tension facing Mrs. Clinton as she hurtles toward what aides increasingly believe will be a decisive victory — a pleasant problem, for certain, but one that has nonetheless scrambled the campaign’s strategy weeks before Election Day: Should Mrs. Clinton maximize her own margin, aiming to flip as many red states as possible to run up an electoral landslide, or prioritize the party’s congressional fortunes, redirecting funds and energy down the ballot?”–NYT, 10/16/16
I’ll keep praying for a blew wave. And for sabato & all good, godless dems to continue to huff & puff until they blew their house down. It’s good for us to be humble. Amen.
“The Blue Wave” sounds exactly like the kind of slogan that would go “clunk.”
~AA
Remember to celebrate Hillary Clinton is Not President Day, tomorrow!