Last Update: 12:55: The GOP made several major gains in the Senate tonight and will most likely have a majority of 54 or 55 seats. The Democrats took the House and will likely have a majority somewhere in the mid-220s. Thanks for all the comments tonight everyone!
Update: 12:33: Insanely tight race for Wisconsin governor tonight. Less than a .1% difference with 89% reporting.
Update: 12:05: GA7 goes blue with a win from Carolyn Bourdeaux.
Update: 11:58: Hawley crushes McCaskill. Stabenow survives.
Update: 11:45: Axne (D) wins IA3.
Update: 11:31: Malinowski (D) wins in NJ7, another Dem pickup.
Update: 11:25: Craig (D) wins in MN2. Another pickup.
Update: 11:20: Van Drew (D) wins NJ2. Another flip.
Update: 11:18: Huge upset in OK5 where Horn (D) defeats Rep. Russell.
Update: 11:13: Finkenauer (D) wins IA1. Another Dem pickup.
Update: 11:10: Fletcher (D) wins TX7. It’s official now, Democrats will take the House.
Update: 11:07: Spanberger takes VA7. That’s 22 pickups for the Dem. They need one more for a majority in the House.
Update: 10:58: NY19 and NY22 go Dem. That’s 21 pickups. Dems need 2 more to take the House.
Update: 10:55: Londrigan (D) wins IL13. That’s 19 pickups.
Update: 10:54: Gillum concedes!
Update: 10:46: Reschenthaler (D) wins PA14. That’s 18 pickups.
Update: 10:41: Casten (D) wins IL6. That’s 17 pickups for Dems.
Update: 10:32: Republicans will keep, and add to, their majority in the Senate.
Update: 10:20: Allred (D) wins TX32. That’s 16 pickups for Dems. They need 7 more to take the House.
Update: 10:16: Cruz defeats O’Rourke. Republicans are going to make a few gains in the Senate tonight.
Update: 10:09: NY11 goes to Rose (D) and Houlahan (D) wins in PA6. That’s 15 pickups for Dems.
Update: 10:07: Susan Wild (D) wins PA7. That’s 13 pickup for the Dems. They need 10 more to win the House.
Update: 10:05: Elaine Luria (D) wins VA2. That’s 12 pickups for Dems.
Update: 10:02: Sharice Davids (D) wins KS3. That’s 11 pickups for Dems.
Update: 10:00: Dean Phillips (D) wins in MN3. That’s 10 pickups for Dems. They need 13 more to take the House.
Update: 9:59: Sherill (D) wins in NJ11. That’s 9 flips for the Dems.
Update: 9:55: Stevens (D) wins in MI11. That’s 8 pickups for the Dems.
Update: 9:49: Curbelo (R) concedes in FL26. That’s the 7th pickup for the Dems.
Update: 9:41: Conor Lamb (D) wins in PA17. That’s the sixth Dem pickup. They need 17 more to take the House.
Update: 9:37: !!!! Fox News projects DEMOCRATS to take the House !!! I have no idea how they’re projecting that this early.
Update: 9:35: Jason Crow (D) wins in CO6. That’s the fifth Dem pickup of the night.
Update: 9:30: PA5 goes to Mary Gay Scanlon (D), the fourth Dem pickup of the night.
Update: 9:26: FL26 is extremely close as well, with the Democrat candidate up by 1.4% with 87% in.
Update: 9:20: VA7 is extremely close too, with the Democrat candidate up by 0.2% with 94% in.
Update: 9:17: VA2 is extremely close, with the Democrat candidate up by 1.4% with 89% in.
Update: 9:08: Blackburn wins!
Update: 9:06: Manchin projected to win reelection.
Update: 9:00: Dwight Evans (D) wins PA3, Dems’ third pick up of the night.
Update: 8:51: Braun defeats Donnelly. Kiss the Democrats’ hope for the Senate goodbye.
Update: 8:43: Barr (R) projected to barely win. That’s a huge keep for Republicans.
Update, 8:39: No surprise, Menendez wins reelection.
Update, 8:34: With 92% reporting in Florida, Scott leads Nelson by 0.8%, DeSantis up 1 point.
Update, 8:28: With 49% in, Donnelly is being crushed by 16%.
Update, 8:21: With 90% reporting in Florida, Scott leads Nelson by 0.1%, DeSantis up 0.5 points.
Update, 8:19: With 87% reporting in Florida, Scott leads Nelson by less than 0.1%, DeSantis up 0.1 points.
Update: 8:15: Riggleman (R) defeats Cockburn (D) in VA5, a hold for Republicans.
Update, 8:13: With 86% reporting in Florida, Scott leads Nelson by 0.6%, DeSantis up 0.2 points.
Update, 8:08: With 82% reporting in Florida, Nelson leads Scott by 0.6%, Gillum up 0.5 points.
Update, 8:02: Shalala (D) projected to win FL27. That makes two Dem flips in the House.
Update, 8:00: Shalala (D) leads Salazar (R) by 5.7% with 61% in.
Update, 7:58: With 54% in, incumbent Curbelo (R) is down by 1.6% to Murcarsel-Powell (D).
Update, 7:54: With 58% reporting in KY6, McGrath (D) leads incumbent Barr (R) by 6.8%.
Update, 7:53: In FL18, Baer (D) leads incumbent Mast (R) by 1% with 35% in. This would be a shocking flip for Dems.
Update, 7:48: With 56% reporting in Florida, Nelson leads Scott by 3.2%, Gillum up 2.8 points.
Update, 7:44: Wexton (D) projected to flip VA10 blue.
Update, 7:41: With 49% reporting in KY6, McGrath leads Barr by 4%.
Update, 7:39: With 46% reporting in Florida, Nelson leads Scott by 6.2%, Gillum up 6 points.
Update, 7:36: With 56% in, VA10 has Democrat Wexton up 16% and would be a flip for Dems.
Update, 7:31: With almost 200,000 votes in, Shalala leads Salazar by 6%.
Update, 7:25: With 30% reporting in Florida, Nelson leads Scott by 4.2%, Gillum up exactly 4 points.
Update, 7:24: With 39% reporting in KY6, McGrath leads Barr by 7.6%.
Update, 7:13: With 9% in, Barr leads McGrath by 4% in KY6.
Update, 7:12: With 8% in, Nelson takes the lead over Scott by 5.6%. Gillum up 4.4%.
Update, 7:08: With 7% in, Nelson takes the lead over Scott by 1.4%. Gillum up 0.4%.
Update, 7:04 EST: With 2% in, Scott leads Nelson in Florida by 11%
Update, 7:02 EST: No surprise, Sanders and Kaine projected to win reelection.
Update, 7:00 EST: With 6% in, McGrath leads Barr by about 600 votes.
Update, 6:53 EST: With 2% in, Andy Barr leads Amy McGrath by 12 votes.
Update, 6:45 EST: With about 1% reporting, Andy Barr (R) and Amy McGrath (D) are about tied. This is a major bell-weather race.
Update, 6:37 EST: Closing at 7 o’clock are: Florida (EST), Georgia, the rest of Indiana, the rest of Kentucky, South Carolina, Virginia, Vermont, and New Hampshire.
Update, 6:27: An eye-popping stat from North Dakota, where their early voting and absentee ballots increased 2496% from 2014.
Update, 6:14: With less than one percent of the vote in Indiana in, Republicans are up. That said, it’s extremely early.
Update, 6:00 EST: Most of Indiana and half of Kentucky just closed their polls.
Update, 5:52 EST: Again, do not listen to exit polls, but CNN exit polls say that 71% voters see electing minorities as important.
Update, 5:42 EST: That’s a weird thing to say: Republican National Committee spokeswoman Kayleigh McEnany tells Fox News that losing the House could be a victory for Republicans. “Should we lose the House narrowly, a few seats, it’s a victory,” she explained.
Update, 5:37 EST: Of course. According to the Washington Post, former FBI chief James Comey knocked on doors for Democrat Jennifer Wexton in North Virginia.
Update, 5:31 EST: Don’t listen to exit polls! But with that in mind… Most important issue facing the country: Health care: 41%, Immigration: 23%, Economy: 21%, Gun Policy: 11%, National CNN Exit Poll.
Good evening everyone and welcome to the IOTW 2018 Mid-Term Spectacular. I’ll be writing things in reverse chronological order, this beginning post aside.
Most of Indiana and half of Kentucky close their polls at six o’clock, then at 7, we’ll get a slew of other polls closing.
While we’re waiting, what are your predictions for tonight? Who wins the House? Who wins the Senate? What upset does no one see coming that you do? Comment and let’s have fun tonight!